Four AI personas. One consensus. The most structured UFC fight analysis on the internet.
01
Multi-Persona Analysis
Every fight is broken down through four distinct AI lenses — Data, Striking, Grappling,
and Experience.
02
Consensus System
Majority persona picks determine the consensus winner, method, and overall confidence
rating.
03
Full Card Coverage
Detailed predictions for every announced fight, from main event down to prelim
undercards.
04
Not Gambling Advice
Structured fight intelligence analysis. Think of it as a pre-fight analytics desk, not a
picks service.
The Intelligence System
THE FOUR PERSONAS
📊
The Analyst
Data & Probability Model
Striking accuracy & efficiency
Win probability modeling
Recent fight trends
Output vs absorption rates
Opponent strength metrics
👊
The Striker
Damage & Technical Stand-Up
Knockdown threat & power differential
Combination quality
Defensive striking habits
Body vs head targeting
Finishing ability on the feet
🤼
The Grapple Coach
Wrestling & Submission Threat
Takedown accuracy & attempts
Submission threat paths
Clinch efficiency
Control time & top pressure
Scramble ability
🧠
The Veteran
Experience & Fight IQ
Level of competition faced
Composure under pressure
Five-round cardio & adaptability
Trap fights & upset potential
Mental durability
Fight Predictions
UPCOMING EVENTS
Click any event to expand. Click a fight to view full AI analysis.
PPV
UFC 326 — HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2
MAR 7, 2026 · LAS VEGAS, NV · T-MOBILE ARENA
5 FIGHTS ANALYZED
+
★ Main Event · Lightweight — BMF Title
BMF CHAMPION · #3 LWMax Holloway27-8-0
VS155 LBS
FORMER LW CHAMPIONCharles Oliveira36-11-1 NC
Holloway — Statistical Profile
Strike Output (Pace)
300+ strikes/fight
Striking Accuracy
53–58%
Career UFC Strikes Landed
3,655 (UFC record)
Takedown Defense
83%
Oliveira — Statistical Profile
Strike Output (Pace)
40–150 strikes/fight
UFC Submission Wins
17 (UFC record)
Total UFC Finishes
21 (UFC record)
Takedown Avg / 15min
2.22
📊 The Analyst
MAX HOLLOWAY
Decision
63%
Holloway's output is unmatched. Against elite fighters he regularly lands
150–200 strikes while maintaining accuracy above 53–58%, compared to Oliveira's 40–150 strike
pace. If this stays standing for long stretches, the round-winning output strongly favors
Holloway. However, Oliveira's grappling remains the single biggest finishing variable in the
fight.
👊 The Striker
MAX HOLLOWAY
Late TKO
63%
Holloway wins through pace, combinations, body work, and cumulative
damage. He absorbed 375 strikes from Poirier and stayed composed — one of the best chins in MMA
history. Oliveira's defense can be hittable when pushing forward aggressively. If this stays
primarily on the feet, the volume gap becomes overwhelming.
🤼 The Grapple Coach
OLIVEIRA
Submission (Upset Path)
55%
Oliveira holds the UFC record for submissions and thrives in chaotic
scrambles — guillotines, back takes, arm triangles. Holloway has excellent takedown defense and
elite wrestlers have struggled to control him. Oliveira's path requires damaging Holloway first,
forcing scrambles, and capitalizing on a single mistake.
🧠 The Veteran
MAX HOLLOWAY
Decision
63%
Holloway has fought five-round wars for years with elite cardio,
durability, and some of the best fight IQ in the sport. Oliveira is dangerous but sometimes takes
big risks that cost rounds. If Holloway survives early grappling danger, the fight becomes a pace
battle that favors him heavily in the championship rounds.
Consensus Pick
HOLLOWAY
Most Likely Method
DECISION
Overall Confidence
63%
3 of 4 personas back Holloway. Secondary outcome: Late TKO via volume.
Upset path: Oliveira submission. Oliveira always carries submission danger which keeps this
competitive, but Holloway's elite cardio, striking volume, and championship-round output should be
the deciding factors over 25 minutes.
🥊 Holloway TKO — Most Likely Round
RND 3 or RND 4
🔒 Oliveira Submission — Most Likely Round
RND 1 or RND 2
Co-Main Event · Middleweight
#7 MWCaio Borralho17-2-0
VS185 LBS
#8 MWReinier de Ridder21-3-0
Borralho — Statistical Profile
Takedown Accuracy
48%
UFC Control Time Rank
#9 MW (23.7%)
UFC Win Streak (before loss)
7-0
Notable Wins
Cannonier, Paul Craig
de Ridder — Statistical Profile
Takedown Avg / 15min
1.5 more than Borralho
UFC Submission Rate Rank
#6 MW (37.6%)
Career Finish Rate
18/21 wins by stoppage
Notable Wins
Whittaker, Nickal, Holland
📊 The Analyst
CAIO BORRALHO
Decision
65%
Statistically this fight is extremely close. Borralho's slightly higher
pace, wrestling mix, and proven ability to go deep into fights gives him the data edge. His win
over Cannonier is a major data point showing he can beat elite middleweights.
👊 The Striker
CAIO BORRALHO
Late TKO (accumulated damage)
62%
De Ridder is an efficient striker with clean combinations and high
accuracy, but Borralho's sustained pace tends to win rounds. Good body work and improving boxing
allow Borralho to accumulate damage over three rounds and potentially force a late stoppage.
🤼 The Grapple Coach
REINIER DE RIDDER
Submission · Rnd 2 (Upset Path)
58%
De Ridder is the more dangerous submission specialist. In scrambles and
transitions he can attack back control, arm triangles, and chokes. Borralho is a strong grappler
but de Ridder's submission chain ability gives him a clear upset path off a single mistake.
🧠 The Veteran
CAIO BORRALHO
Decision
65%
Borralho has shown strong fight IQ, composure, and the ability to adapt
mid-fight against top-level competition. If this becomes a tactical fight rather than a chaotic
scramble battle, Borralho controls the tempo and outpoints de Ridder over 15 minutes.
Consensus Pick
BORRALHO
Most Likely Method
DECISION
Overall Confidence
65%
3 of 4 personas back Borralho. Secondary outcome: Late TKO via striking
pressure. Upset path: De Ridder submission. De Ridder's grappling threat keeps this fight
competitive, but Borralho's sustained pace and championship-level composure should carry the rounds.
Main Card · Bantamweight
#13 BWRob Font22-9-0
VS135 LBS
UnrankedRaul Rosas Jr.11-1-0
Font — Statistical Profile
Sig. Strikes Landed/Min
5.36
Takedown Defense
43%
Times Taken Down (last 3)
11
Notable Wins
Sandhagen, Garbrandt, Aldo
Rosas Jr. — Statistical Profile
Takedown Avg / 15min
4.01
Current Win Streak
4 fights
Age
21 (youngest UFC signing ever)
Style
Aggressive grappler / sub threat
📊 The Analyst
RAUL ROSAS JR.
Decision
57%
The fight comes down to volume vs grappling pressure. Font has higher
output and elite boxing fundamentals, but if Rosas secures multiple takedowns he can bank rounds
through control. Font's 43% takedown defense is a significant liability against a wrestler
averaging 4.01 TDs per 15 minutes.
👊 The Striker
ROB FONT
TKO
60%
On the feet this fight heavily favors Font. His jab-heavy boxing style can
overwhelm opponents who rush takedown entries. If Rosas struggles to get takedowns early, Font's
high-volume combinations and ring generalship could control the fight and potentially hurt Rosas
standing.
🤼 The Grapple Coach
RAUL ROSAS JR.
Submission
62%
Rosas is one of the most aggressive young grapplers in the division with
relentless takedown attempts, strong positional control, and submission threats from top position.
Font's poor takedown defense is the clearest advantage in this fight — once grounded, the
grappling gap becomes significant.
🧠 The Veteran
ROB FONT
Decision
58%
Font has fought Sandhagen, Figueiredo, and Garbrandt at the highest
bantamweight level for years. Rosas is extremely talented but still young and developing at the
elite level. Veteran fighters often survive early grappling storms and impose their experience in
the later rounds.
Consensus Pick
ROSAS JR.
Most Likely Method
SUBMISSION RND 1-2
Overall Confidence
57%
Personas split 2-2 — a genuine coin flip. Tie-breaking on finishing
probability: Rosas has the clearest finishing path through submissions. Secondary: Decision via
control. Upset path: Font TKO via boxing Round 3. A very competitive stylistic matchup with
fireworks likely early.
Main Card · Lightweight
UFC LW KO Record HolderDrew Dober28-15-0 (1 NC)
VS155 LBS
3-Fight Win StreakMichael Johnson24-19-0
Dober — Statistical Profile
UFC LW KO/TKO Wins
10 (UFC record)
Style
All-offense pressure striker
Last fight
TKO W vs Prepolec (Oct 2025)
Reach
70"
Johnson — Statistical Profile
UFC LW KL Losses (most ever)
13
Recent Form
3-fight win streak
Strike Output
80-83 strikes/fight (recent)
Reach
73.5"
📊 The Analyst
MICHAEL JOHNSON
Decision
56%
Johnson lands much higher strike totals per fight — 81 vs Zellhuber, 80 vs
Flowers, 83 vs Diakiese. Dober throws less volume and relies on power exchanges. Over three rounds
the numbers suggest Johnson could outland him and bank rounds on volume alone.
👊 The Striker
DREW DOBER
KO
64%
Dober's style is built around crashing distance and throwing hooks with
knockout power. Johnson has historically struggled when pressured by power punchers. If Dober
lands early, he could shut Johnson's speed down entirely. The UFC LW KO record holder always has
the power to end it.
🤼 The Grapple Coach
DREW DOBER
KO
62%
Grappling will play almost no role here — neither fighter consistently
uses wrestling, positional grappling, or submission attacks. With the fight staying on the feet,
Dober's power threat becomes the dominant factor. This persona defaults to the knockout path.
🧠 The Veteran
DREW DOBER
TKO
64%
Both are veterans, but Johnson has historically had durability issues late
in fights. Dober has proven extremely tough and dangerous even when losing rounds. Experience
combined with finishing ability — holding the UFC's all-time LW KO record — favors Dober.
Consensus Pick
DOBER
Most Likely Method
KO / TKO
Overall Confidence
64%
3 of 4 personas back Dober. Secondary: Decision via damage
accumulation. Upset path: Johnson wins a striking volume decision. Power advantage and finishing
ability are the deciding factors — but Johnson's reach and recent form keep this competitive.
Main Card · Middleweight — Rematch
#13 MW · 5-1 since lossGregory Rodrigues18-6-0
VS185 LBS
#16 MW · 3-fight win streakBrunno Ferreira15-2-0
Rodrigues — Statistical Profile
Sig. Strikes Landed/Min
5.96 (55% accuracy)
BJJ Rank
Black Belt · 8x National Champion
Height Advantage
6'3" vs 5'10"
First Meeting Result
Lost via KO Rnd 1 (UFC 283)
Ferreira — Statistical Profile
Sig. Strikes Landed/Min
3.57 (49% accuracy)
Fighting Style
Explosive power, early aggression
Recent Form
3-fight win streak
First Meeting Result
Won via KO Rnd 1 (UFC debut)
📊 The Analyst
GREGORY RODRIGUES
Decision
62%
Rodrigues shows more consistent accuracy and controlled output across
recent fights. At 5.96 strikes per minute with 55% accuracy vs Ferreira's 3.57 at 49%, Rodrigues
holds a clear striking efficiency edge. His ability to maintain pressure without becoming reckless
makes him difficult to finish.
👊 The Striker
BRUNNO FERREIRA
KO · Rnd 1-2
55%
Ferreira carries the bigger knockout threat. He already knocked Rodrigues
out once and his ability to land heavy shots in exchanges means Robocop must be careful early. If
Ferreira detonates early before Rodrigues settles into a rhythm, history could repeat itself.
🤼 The Grapple Coach
GREGORY RODRIGUES
Submission
65%
Rodrigues is an 8x national BJJ champion and black belt. If he chooses to
use his grappling advantage — especially by mixing levels to slow Ferreira's explosive entries —
the skill gap on the mat could become decisive. Ferreira's aggression makes single-leg entries
available.
🧠 The Veteran
GREGORY RODRIGUES
Decision
62%
Rodrigues has shown ability to adapt mid-fight and remain dangerous in
longer fights. Ferreira is most dangerous early, but Rodrigues' durability, well-rounded game, and
the motivation of revenge provide more paths to victory over a full three rounds.
Consensus Pick
RODRIGUES
Most Likely Method
DECISION
Overall Confidence
62%
3 of 4 personas back Rodrigues. Secondary: Submission. Upset path:
Ferreira early knockout Rnd 1-2. Rodrigues has multiple paths to victory — striking pressure,
grappling, and durability — but Ferreira's proven power in this exact matchup keeps the danger real
throughout.